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Extended Hurricane Probabilities in the Forecast

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Plus oil spill risks in the Gulf

NOAA is extending one of its hurricane forecasts for the upcoming season, new money is on its way to local governments saddled with Hurricane Ian cleanup costs, and a new report voices lingering concerns about the safety of oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico.  It’s all in this week’s Disaster Management Digest.

Hurricane Forecasts: NOAA has announced a list of changes in the products and services it will offer for the upcoming Atlantic Hurricane season that begins on June 1.  The first map that many of us look at is the “Tropical Weather Outlook” that shows the probability of a disturbance forming into a cyclone (tropical storm or hurricane).  Beginning this summer, NOAA will provide more lead time, with the outlook extended from its current 5 days to 7 days, with both 2-day and 7-day formation probabilities provided (see sample map at right).  NOAA this season is also making operational its Peak Storm Surge Forecast graphic that it has been providing experimentally since 2020.  There will be no change in the “cone of uncertainty” map, also known as the tropical cyclone track forecast error cone.  It will be about the same as compared to 2022.

Hurricane Ian destruction in Fort Myers Beach

Emergency Bridge Loans: The first award through Florida’s new Local Government Emergency Bridge Loan Program was made last week.  Fort Myers Beach, which was devastated by Hurricane Ian last September, received a check for $11.9 million. The loan is designed to help support local government operations impacted hurricanes Ian or Nicole while they await federal relief or for their revenues to recover.  The $50 million program was recently approved in the February special legislative session.

The Deepwater Horizon oil rig fire

Gulf Oil Spill Risk: A new report by the National Academy of Science says that most of the offshore oil and gas industry in the Gulf of Mexico has shown considerable improvement in systemic risk management in the 13 years since the Deepwater Horizons explosion and oil spill.  The catastrophe on the BP oil rig killed 11 people and was the biggest oil spill in U.S. history at more than 130 million gallons.  The report, Advancing Understanding of Offshore Oil and Gas Systemic Risk in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, outlines the current risks and the safety reforms put in place since the Macondo Well–Deepwater Horizon blowout in 2010. Despite good progress, there are troublesome safety issues that persist.  They include the inability for federal safety inspectors to regulate contractors on oil rigs, having instead to go after a rig operator, and the lack of an industrywide safety culture integrated into daily rig work.

Click Image for Printable Version

Hurricane Season Preparations: With 50 days left until the official start of hurricane season on June 1, we are happy to provide you once again with my Lisa’s Lucky 7 Hurricane Season Prep chart.  It lists the 7 critical things we all need to do now to get ready for the storm season ahead.  Please share this printable, fun flyer with your customers, colleagues, families, and friends to show you care.  As we’ve bitterly learned with hurricanes Ian and Nicole, regret is often preventable.

Have a great week and please call or email us if we can help you navigate Bill Watch or you have other questions.  Of course, you are always welcome to stay with us in our home and walk the halls of the Florida Capitol with us!

See you on the trail,
Lisa

LMA Newsletter of 4-10-23

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Tags: Florida Hurricanes, Hurricane Forecast, Hurricane preparation, Local Government Emergency Bridge Loan Program, NOAA, Oil Spill

“I have followed your weekly newsletter and podcasts and now have a full appreciation for what you bring to this industry.  You are an inspiring force, plain and simple.  I wanted you to know that you make a difference.  Thank you for all you do!”

Jeffrey Karam, CPCU
Bradenton, FL

“Lisa this is another great newsletter, and we appreciate the time and energy you put into these informative updates – you are on top of these topics!”

Mike Graham, CEO
Smart Vent Products, Floodproofing.com, & Risk Reduction Plus
Juno Beach, FL

“Great article on Risk Rating 2.0!”

Austin Perez, Senior Policy Representative for Federal Housing, Valuation, Insurance and Commercial Issues
National Association of Realtors
Washington, D.C.

“Just a quick note to let you know how much I have appreciated your newsletter over the years and the assistance they offer for those in the field of claims. We depend on the information more than you will ever know!”

Laurie Rasberry, Chief Claims Officer
Acorn Claims
Prosper, Texas

“Just wanted to say that I thoroughly love your newsletter. It’s is always informative and insightful to the ins and outs of our industry.  You are an inspiration and an important asset in the insurance world.  Keep up the great work!” 

Cynthia Scott, President
University Insurance Group
Davie, FL

“Your newsletter is fabulous!  I greatly appreciate the topics you expose, so that insurance professionals like myself can keep up with the latest events that affect the public we serve and ourselves.”

Cynthia Hoehn, Independent Property & Casualty Personal Lines insurance agent
Clermont, FL

“Lisa Miller is a true champion for the insurance industry, with her regular updates! We appreciate all you do and keeping us up to date on priority issues!”

Gillian Lloyd, Account Executive
Zywave
Milwaukee, WI

“Thank you Lisa for staying on top of, as well as advocating, for Florida residents and legislative reform. Your newsletters are very informative and enjoy reading the points of view.”  

Shawna Miller, Sr. Claims Quality Assurance & Compliance Manager
Florida Peninsula Insurance Company
Jacksonville, FL

“Another great Newsletter on Florida industry this week.  Your service and advocacy in Florida is very important to keeping me updated and apprised of the Florida insurance laws, trends and overall environment.  Something similar is very much needed in Louisiana, too.”

Jennifer Tedesco, Esq., Claims Director
Pharos Claims Services
Orlando, FL

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